Head to head

Estonia vs Japan

If they played today

Estonia at home

10% / 18% / 72%

Estonia win / draw / Japan win

Estonia–Japan

0–2 13.3%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.7%
1–2 9.3%
1–1 8.5%

Neutral venue

7% / 15% / 78%

Estonia win / draw / Japan win

Estonia–Japan

0–2 14.8%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.8%
1–2 8.4%
0–4 7.1%

Japan at home

4% / 12% / 84%

Estonia win / draw / Japan win

Estonia–Japan

0–2 16.2%
0–3 14.1%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 9.1%
1–2 7.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Japan
Current Elo	1425	1973
Elo rank	141st	15th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	2012 (2026)
Matches played	550	794
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	391W 167D 236L
Goals for	544	1451
Goals against	974	915
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.16

When they've met

Estonia and Japan have never played each other.