Head to head

Estonia vs Italy

If they played today

Estonia at home

13% / 19% / 68%

Estonia win / draw / Italy win

Estonia–Italy

0–2 12.5%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
0–3 8.7%

Neutral venue

9% / 16% / 75%

Estonia win / draw / Italy win

Estonia–Italy

0–2 14.0%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.7%
1–2 8.9%
1–1 7.8%

Italy at home

6% / 14% / 81%

Estonia win / draw / Italy win

Estonia–Italy

0–2 15.5%
0–3 12.9%
0–1 12.4%
0–4 8.0%
1–2 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Italy
Current Elo	1425	1922
Elo rank	141st	19th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	2140 (2021)
Matches played	550	893
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	477W 243D 173L
Goals for	544	1565
Goals against	974	876
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	4
Expected World Cups	0.00	1.66
European Championships won	0	2
Expected European Championships	0.00	1.29

When they've met

Meetings

Estonia 0W 0D 9L

Goals

3–28

Estonia first

First meeting

0–2

Italy won · 1993-04-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

1–3

Italy won · 2025-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Estonia's biggest win

—

Never beaten Italy

Italy's biggest win

5–0

2025-09-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

0–3

Estonia first · twice, last 2011-06-03

Current run

Won last 9

Italy · since 1993-04-14

9 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-10-11	1–3	Estonia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2025-09-05	0–5	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2020-11-11	0–4	Italy home	Friendly
2011-06-03	0–3	Italy home	UEFA Euro qualification
2010-09-03	1–2	Estonia home	UEFA Euro qualification
1995-03-25	1–4	Italy home	UEFA Euro qualification
1994-10-08	0–2	Estonia home	UEFA Euro qualification
1993-09-22	0–3	Estonia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1993-04-14	0–2	Italy home	FIFA World Cup qualification