Head to head

Estonia vs Iceland

If they played today

Estonia at home

29% / 25% / 46%

Estonia win / draw / Iceland win

Estonia–Iceland

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
0–2 8.0%
1–0 7.9%

Neutral venue

22% / 24% / 54%

Estonia win / draw / Iceland win

Estonia–Iceland

1–1 11.3%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.6%
1–0 6.5%

Iceland at home

17% / 22% / 62%

Estonia win / draw / Iceland win

Estonia–Iceland

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Iceland
Current Elo	1425	1639
Elo rank	141st	81st
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1885 (2017)
Matches played	550	522
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	159W 102D 261L
Goals for	544	632
Goals against	974	876
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	<0.01
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.00	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Estonia 1W 3D 3L

Goals

4–10

Estonia first

First meeting

0–4

Iceland won · 1994-08-16 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2023-01-08 · Friendly

Estonia's biggest win

2–0

2002-11-20 · Friendly

Iceland's biggest win

4–0

1994-08-16 · Friendly

Most common result

1–1

Estonia first · twice, last 2023-01-08

Current run

Unbeaten in 4

Iceland · since 2014-06-04

7 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-01-08	1–1	Neutral	Friendly
2019-01-15	0–0	Neutral	Friendly
2015-03-31	1–1	Estonia home	Friendly
2014-06-04	0–1	Iceland home	Friendly
2002-11-20	2–0	Estonia home	Friendly
1996-04-24	0–3	Estonia home	Friendly
1994-08-16	0–4	Iceland home	Friendly