Head to head

Estonia vs Hong Kong

If they played today

Estonia at home

54% / 24% / 22%

Estonia win / draw / Hong Kong win

Estonia–Hong Kong

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.6%
0–1 6.5%

Neutral venue

46% / 25% / 29%

Estonia win / draw / Hong Kong win

Estonia–Hong Kong

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
2–0 8.0%
0–1 7.9%

Hong Kong at home

38% / 26% / 36%

Estonia win / draw / Hong Kong win

Estonia–Hong Kong

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.4%
2–1 8.3%
1–2 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Hong Kong
Current Elo	1425	1311
Elo rank	141st	167th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1578 (1963)
Matches played	550	447
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	143W 96D 208L
Goals for	544	648
Goals against	974	732
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	15–0 vs Guam · 2005-03-07 · EAFF Championship
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–7 vs Argentina · 2014-10-14 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Meetings

Estonia 1W 0D 0L

Goals

2–1

Estonia first

First meeting

2–1

Estonia won · 2000-12-10 · Friendly

Most recent

2–1

Estonia won · 2000-12-10 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2000-12-10	2–1	Hong Kong home	Friendly