Head to head

Estonia vs Germany

If they played today

Estonia at home
10% / 17% / 73%
Estonia win / draw / Germany win
Estonia–Germany
  • 0–2 13.6%
  • 0–1 12.2%
  • 0–3 10.1%
  • 1–2 9.2%
  • 1–1 8.2%
Neutral venue
6% / 14% / 79%
Estonia win / draw / Germany win
Estonia–Germany
  • 0–2 15.1%
  • 0–1 12.4%
  • 0–3 12.3%
  • 1–2 8.2%
  • 0–4 7.5%
Germany at home
4% / 11% / 85%
Estonia win / draw / Germany win
Estonia–Germany
  • 0–2 16.5%
  • 0–3 14.5%
  • 0–1 12.5%
  • 0–4 9.6%
  • 1–2 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 EstoniaGermany
Current Elo14251993
Elo rank141st14th
Peak Elo1607 (2018)2267 (2014)
Matches played5501035
All-time record136W 122D 292L601W 214D 220L
Goals for5442331
Goals against9741203
Biggest win6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification16–0 vs Russia · 1912-07-01 · Olympic Games
Biggest loss2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly0–6 vs Spain · 2020-11-17 · UEFA Nations League
World Cups won04
Expected World Cups0.002.12
European Championships won03
Expected European Championships0.002.43

When they've met

Meetings
5
Estonia 0W 0D 5L
Goals
1–22
Estonia first
First meeting
0–5
Germany won · 1935-09-15 · Friendly
Most recent
0–3
Germany won · 2019-10-13 · UEFA Euro qualification
Estonia's biggest win
Never beaten Germany
Germany's biggest win
8–0
2019-06-11 · UEFA Euro qualification
Current run
Won last 5
Germany · since 1935-09-15
5 meetings
DateScoreVenueCompetition
2019-10-130–3Estonia homeUEFA Euro qualification
2019-06-110–8Germany homeUEFA Euro qualification
1939-06-290–2Estonia homeFriendly
1937-08-291–4Germany homeFIFA World Cup qualification
1935-09-150–5Germany homeFriendly