Head to head

Estonia vs Gambia

If they played today

Estonia at home

36% / 26% / 38%

Estonia win / draw / Gambia win

Estonia–Gambia

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.4%
1–2 8.3%
2–1 8.0%

Neutral venue

28% / 25% / 46%

Estonia win / draw / Gambia win

Estonia–Gambia

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
0–2 8.1%
1–0 7.9%

Gambia at home

22% / 24% / 54%

Estonia win / draw / Gambia win

Estonia–Gambia

1–1 11.3%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.6%
1–0 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Gambia
Current Elo	1425	1540
Elo rank	141st	99th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1570 (2022)
Matches played	550	266
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	73W 75D 118L
Goals for	544	279
Goals against	974	370
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Seychelles · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	1–7 vs Ghana · 1978-01-17 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Estonia and Gambia have never played each other.