Head to head

Estonia vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Estonia at home

47% / 25% / 27%

Estonia win / draw / Ethiopia win

Estonia–Ethiopia

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.4%
2–0 8.3%
0–1 7.6%

Neutral venue

39% / 26% / 34%

Estonia win / draw / Ethiopia win

Estonia–Ethiopia

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.1%
2–1 8.5%
1–2 7.8%

Ethiopia at home

32% / 26% / 42%

Estonia win / draw / Ethiopia win

Estonia–Ethiopia

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.2%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.6%
2–1 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1425	1393
Elo rank	141st	148th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	550	409
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	544	549
Goals against	974	595
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Estonia and Ethiopia have never played each other.