Head to head

Eritrea vs Samoa

If they played today

Eritrea at home

43% / 26% / 31%

Eritrea win / draw / Samoa win

Eritrea–Samoa

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.4%
2–0 7.5%

Neutral venue

35% / 26% / 38%

Eritrea win / draw / Samoa win

Eritrea–Samoa

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.3%
1–2 8.4%
2–1 8.0%

Samoa at home

28% / 25% / 46%

Eritrea win / draw / Samoa win

Eritrea–Samoa

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.1%
1–0 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Eritrea	Samoa
Current Elo	1197	1216
Elo rank	181st	179th
Peak Elo	1511 (1994)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	71	71
All-time record	11W 16D 44L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	48	99
Goals against	121	249
Biggest win	3–1 vs Somalia · 2009-12-05 · CECAFA Cup	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–6 vs Angola · 2007-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Eritrea and Samoa have never played each other.