Head to head

Eritrea vs Rwanda

If they played today

Eritrea at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Eritrea win / draw / Rwanda win

Eritrea–Rwanda

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.6%
1–0 7.4%

Neutral venue

20% / 23% / 57%

Eritrea win / draw / Rwanda win

Eritrea–Rwanda

0–1 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
0–2 10.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Rwanda at home

15% / 21% / 65%

Eritrea win / draw / Rwanda win

Eritrea–Rwanda

0–2 11.8%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.8%
1–1 9.8%
0–3 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Eritrea	Rwanda
Current Elo	1197	1448
Elo rank	181st	128th
Peak Elo	1511 (1994)	1532 (2015)
Matches played	71	280
All-time record	11W 16D 44L	88W 74D 118L
Goals for	48	289
Goals against	121	336
Biggest win	3–1 vs Somalia · 2009-12-05 · CECAFA Cup	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	1–6 vs Angola · 2007-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.00	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Eritrea 0W 2D 8L

Goals

7–17

Eritrea first

First meeting

0–1

Rwanda won · 2000-10-28 · Friendly

Most recent

0–1

Rwanda won · 2013-12-05 · CECAFA Cup

Eritrea's biggest win

—

Never beaten Rwanda

Rwanda's biggest win

3–1

2011-11-15 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

0–1

Eritrea first · 3 times, last 2013-12-05

Current run

Unbeaten in 10

Rwanda · since 2000-10-28

10 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2013-12-05	0–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2012-12-01	0–2	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2011-11-15	1–3	Rwanda home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2011-11-11	1–1	Eritrea home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2009-12-03	1–2	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2007-12-09	1–2	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2005-11-30	2–3	Rwanda home	CECAFA Cup
2001-12-12	0–1	Rwanda home	CECAFA Cup
2000-11-25	1–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2000-10-28	0–1	Neutral	Friendly