Head to head

Eritrea vs Mexico

If they played today

Eritrea at home

3% / 10% / 87%

Eritrea win / draw / Mexico win

Eritrea–Mexico

0–2 17.2%
0–3 15.6%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.7%
1–2 6.0%

Neutral venue

1% / 7% / 91%

Eritrea win / draw / Mexico win

Eritrea–Mexico

0–2 18.5%
0–3 18.1%
0–4 13.2%
0–1 12.6%
0–5 7.8%

Mexico at home

0% / 5% / 95%

Eritrea win / draw / Mexico win

Eritrea–Mexico

0–3 20.6%
0–2 19.8%
0–4 16.1%
0–1 12.6%
0–5 10.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Eritrea	Mexico
Current Elo	1197	2012
Elo rank	181st	12th
Peak Elo	1511 (1994)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	71	1008
All-time record	11W 16D 44L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	48	1777
Goals against	121	1057
Biggest win	3–1 vs Somalia · 2009-12-05 · CECAFA Cup	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–6 vs Angola · 2007-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.64

When they've met

Eritrea and Mexico have never played each other.