Head to head

Eritrea vs Mali

If they played today

Eritrea at home

12% / 19% / 69%

Eritrea win / draw / Mali win

Eritrea–Mali

0–2 12.7%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.6%
0–3 9.0%
1–1 9.0%

Neutral venue

8% / 16% / 76%

Eritrea win / draw / Mali win

Eritrea–Mali

0–2 14.3%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.0%
1–2 8.8%
1–1 7.6%

Mali at home

5% / 13% / 82%

Eritrea win / draw / Mali win

Eritrea–Mali

0–2 15.7%
0–3 13.2%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.4%
1–2 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Eritrea	Mali
Current Elo	1197	1709
Elo rank	181st	60th
Peak Elo	1511 (1994)	1773 (2024)
Matches played	71	569
All-time record	11W 16D 44L	232W 151D 186L
Goals for	48	746
Goals against	121	626
Biggest win	3–1 vs Somalia · 2009-12-05 · CECAFA Cup	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	1–6 vs Angola · 2007-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.00	0.67

When they've met

Meetings

Eritrea 0W 0D 2L

Goals

0–3

Eritrea first

First meeting

0–2

Mali won · 2003-03-30 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most recent

0–1

Mali won · 2003-06-07 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Eritrea's biggest win

—

Never beaten Mali

Mali's biggest win

2–0

2003-03-30 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Current run

Won last 2

Mali · since 2003-03-30

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2003-06-07	0–1	Mali home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2003-03-30	0–2	Eritrea home	African Cup of Nations qualification