Head to head

Eritrea vs Malawi

If they played today

Eritrea at home

27% / 25% / 48%

Eritrea win / draw / Malawi win

Eritrea–Malawi

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.5%
1–0 7.5%

Neutral venue

21% / 23% / 56%

Eritrea win / draw / Malawi win

Eritrea–Malawi

0–1 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
0–2 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Malawi at home

15% / 21% / 64%

Eritrea win / draw / Malawi win

Eritrea–Malawi

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.6%
1–1 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Eritrea	Malawi
Current Elo	1197	1438
Elo rank	181st	137th
Peak Elo	1511 (1994)	1669 (1985)
Matches played	71	644
All-time record	11W 16D 44L	219W 182D 243L
Goals for	48	753
Goals against	121	832
Biggest win	3–1 vs Somalia · 2009-12-05 · CECAFA Cup	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	1–6 vs Angola · 2007-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.00	0.08

When they've met

Meetings

Eritrea 0W 0D 1L

Goals

2–3

Eritrea first

First meeting

2–3

Malawi won · 2012-11-29 · CECAFA Cup

Most recent

2–3

Malawi won · 2012-11-29 · CECAFA Cup

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2012-11-29	2–3	Neutral	CECAFA Cup