Head to head

Eritrea vs Madagascar

If they played today

Eritrea at home

22% / 24% / 54%

Eritrea win / draw / Madagascar win

Eritrea–Madagascar

1–1 11.3%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.6%
1–0 6.5%

Neutral venue

17% / 22% / 62%

Eritrea win / draw / Madagascar win

Eritrea–Madagascar

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.2%

Madagascar at home

12% / 19% / 69%

Eritrea win / draw / Madagascar win

Eritrea–Madagascar

0–2 12.8%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.5%
0–3 9.1%
1–1 9.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Eritrea	Madagascar
Current Elo	1197	1511
Elo rank	181st	108th
Peak Elo	1511 (1994)	1645 (1993)
Matches played	71	320
All-time record	11W 16D 44L	118W 73D 129L
Goals for	48	434
Goals against	121	484
Biggest win	3–1 vs Somalia · 2009-12-05 · CECAFA Cup	8–1 vs Congo · 1960-04-18 · African Friendship Games
Biggest loss	1–6 vs Angola · 2007-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification	0–7 vs DR Congo · 1965-07-19 · All-African Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.00	<0.01

When they've met

Eritrea and Madagascar have never played each other.