Head to head

Eritrea vs Kenya

If they played today

Eritrea at home

25% / 24% / 51%

Eritrea win / draw / Kenya win

Eritrea–Kenya

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.0%
1–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

19% / 22% / 59%

Eritrea win / draw / Kenya win

Eritrea–Kenya

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
0–2 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.5%

Kenya at home

14% / 20% / 66%

Eritrea win / draw / Kenya win

Eritrea–Kenya

0–2 12.2%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
0–3 8.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Eritrea	Kenya
Current Elo	1197	1472
Elo rank	181st	123rd
Peak Elo	1511 (1994)	1644 (1961)
Matches played	71	706
All-time record	11W 16D 44L	268W 176D 262L
Goals for	48	978
Goals against	121	958
Biggest win	3–1 vs Somalia · 2009-12-05 · CECAFA Cup	10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–6 vs Angola · 2007-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification	1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.00	0.20

When they've met

Meetings

Eritrea 2W 0D 6L

Goals

7–13

Eritrea first

First meeting

0–1

Kenya won · 1994-12-08 · CECAFA Cup

Most recent

1–0

Eritrea won · 2007-06-16 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Eritrea's biggest win

2–1

2006-09-02 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Kenya's biggest win

4–1

2002-12-06 · CECAFA Cup

Most common result

0–1

Eritrea first · 3 times, last 2001-12-17

Current run

Won last 2

Eritrea · since 2006-09-02

8 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2007-06-16	1–0	Eritrea home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2006-09-02	2–1	Kenya home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2003-12-02	2–3	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2002-12-06	1–4	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2001-12-17	0–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2001-12-10	1–2	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
1999-07-28	0–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
1994-12-08	0–1	Kenya home	CECAFA Cup