Head to head

Eritrea vs Italy

If they played today

Eritrea at home

5% / 13% / 82%

Eritrea win / draw / Italy win

Eritrea–Italy

0–2 15.9%
0–3 13.5%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.6%
1–2 7.4%

Neutral venue

3% / 10% / 87%

Eritrea win / draw / Italy win

Eritrea–Italy

0–2 17.3%
0–3 15.9%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.9%
0–5 6.0%

Italy at home

1% / 7% / 92%

Eritrea win / draw / Italy win

Eritrea–Italy

0–2 18.6%
0–3 18.3%
0–4 13.5%
0–1 12.6%
0–5 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Eritrea	Italy
Current Elo	1197	1922
Elo rank	181st	19th
Peak Elo	1511 (1994)	2140 (2021)
Matches played	71	893
All-time record	11W 16D 44L	477W 243D 173L
Goals for	48	1565
Goals against	121	876
Biggest win	3–1 vs Somalia · 2009-12-05 · CECAFA Cup	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–6 vs Angola · 2007-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	4
Expected World Cups	0.00	1.66

When they've met

Eritrea and Italy have never played each other.