Head to head

Eritrea vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Eritrea at home

30% / 26% / 45%

Eritrea win / draw / Ethiopia win

Eritrea–Ethiopia

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.2%
0–2 7.8%

Neutral venue

23% / 24% / 53%

Eritrea win / draw / Ethiopia win

Eritrea–Ethiopia

1–1 11.5%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.3%
1–0 6.8%

Ethiopia at home

17% / 22% / 61%

Eritrea win / draw / Ethiopia win

Eritrea–Ethiopia

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.9%
1–1 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Eritrea	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1197	1393
Elo rank	181st	148th
Peak Elo	1511 (1994)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	71	409
All-time record	11W 16D 44L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	48	549
Goals against	121	595
Biggest win	3–1 vs Somalia · 2009-12-05 · CECAFA Cup	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–6 vs Angola · 2007-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.00	1.67

When they've met

Eritrea and Ethiopia have never played each other.