Head to head

Equatorial Guinea vs Zambia

If they played today

Equatorial Guinea at home

36% / 26% / 37%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Zambia win

Equatorial Guinea–Zambia

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.6%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.1%

Neutral venue

29% / 26% / 45%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Zambia win

Equatorial Guinea–Zambia

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
1–0 8.0%
0–2 7.9%

Zambia at home

23% / 24% / 53%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Zambia win

Equatorial Guinea–Zambia

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.5%
1–0 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Equatorial Guinea	Zambia
Current Elo	1445	1551
Elo rank	131st	94th
Peak Elo	1633 (2024)	1799 (1994)
Matches played	179	793
All-time record	49W 40D 90L	358W 203D 232L
Goals for	156	1234
Goals against	262	851
Biggest win	4–0 vs Ivory Coast · 2024-01-22 · African Cup of Nations	11–2 vs Eswatini · 1978-02-05 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Congo · 1990-12-13 · UDEAC Cup	1–10 vs DR Congo · 1969-11-22 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.04	1.21

When they've met

Meetings

Equatorial Guinea 1W 1D 1L

Goals

3–2

Equatorial Guinea first

First meeting

0–1

Zambia won · 2012-01-29 · African Cup of Nations

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2021-10-10 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Equatorial Guinea's biggest win

2–0

2021-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Zambia's biggest win

1–0

2012-01-29 · African Cup of Nations

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Equatorial Guinea · since 2021-10-07

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-10-10	1–1	Zambia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2021-10-07	2–0	Equatorial Guinea home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2012-01-29	0–1	Equatorial Guinea home	African Cup of Nations