Head to head

Equatorial Guinea vs Rwanda

If they played today

Equatorial Guinea at home

45% / 26% / 30%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Rwanda win

Equatorial Guinea–Rwanda

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.2%
2–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

37% / 26% / 37%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Rwanda win

Equatorial Guinea–Rwanda

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.6%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.1%

Rwanda at home

29% / 26% / 45%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Rwanda win

Equatorial Guinea–Rwanda

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.1%
0–2 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Equatorial Guinea	Rwanda
Current Elo	1445	1448
Elo rank	131st	128th
Peak Elo	1633 (2024)	1532 (2015)
Matches played	179	280
All-time record	49W 40D 90L	88W 74D 118L
Goals for	156	289
Goals against	262	336
Biggest win	4–0 vs Ivory Coast · 2024-01-22 · African Cup of Nations	9–0 vs Djibouti · 2007-12-13 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Congo · 1990-12-13 · UDEAC Cup	1–6 vs DR Congo · 1976-07-03 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.04	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Equatorial Guinea 1W 1D 1L

Goals

3–3

Equatorial Guinea first

First meeting

3–1

Equatorial Guinea won · 2007-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most recent

0–0

Drawn · 2022-09-23 · Friendly

Equatorial Guinea's biggest win

3–1

2007-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Rwanda's biggest win

2–0

2007-06-02 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Rwanda · since 2007-06-02

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2022-09-23	0–0	Neutral	Friendly
2007-06-02	0–2	Rwanda home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2007-03-25	3–1	Equatorial Guinea home	African Cup of Nations qualification