Head to head

Equatorial Guinea vs Mali

If they played today

Equatorial Guinea at home

25% / 25% / 50%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Mali win

Equatorial Guinea–Mali

1–1 11.7%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.8%
1–0 7.2%

Neutral venue

19% / 23% / 58%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Mali win

Equatorial Guinea–Mali

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
0–2 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.3%

Mali at home

14% / 20% / 66%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Mali win

Equatorial Guinea–Mali

0–2 12.0%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.8%
1–1 9.6%
0–3 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Equatorial Guinea	Mali
Current Elo	1445	1709
Elo rank	131st	60th
Peak Elo	1633 (2024)	1773 (2024)
Matches played	179	569
All-time record	49W 40D 90L	232W 151D 186L
Goals for	156	746
Goals against	262	626
Biggest win	4–0 vs Ivory Coast · 2024-01-22 · African Cup of Nations	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Congo · 1990-12-13 · UDEAC Cup	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.04	0.67

When they've met

Meetings

Equatorial Guinea 0W 1D 2L

Goals

0–2

Equatorial Guinea first

First meeting

0–1

Mali won · 2016-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most recent

0–0

Drawn · 2022-01-26 · African Cup of Nations

Equatorial Guinea's biggest win

—

Never beaten Mali

Mali's biggest win

1–0

2016-03-28 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most common result

0–1

Equatorial Guinea first · twice, last 2016-03-28

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Mali · since 2016-03-25

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2022-01-26	0–0	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
2016-03-28	0–1	Equatorial Guinea home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2016-03-25	0–1	Mali home	African Cup of Nations qualification