Head to head

Equatorial Guinea vs Malawi

If they played today

Equatorial Guinea at home

45% / 25% / 29%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Malawi win

Equatorial Guinea–Malawi

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
0–1 8.0%
2–0 7.9%

Neutral venue

37% / 26% / 36%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Malawi win

Equatorial Guinea–Malawi

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.5%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Malawi at home

30% / 26% / 44%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Malawi win

Equatorial Guinea–Malawi

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.2%
0–2 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Equatorial Guinea	Malawi
Current Elo	1445	1438
Elo rank	131st	137th
Peak Elo	1633 (2024)	1669 (1985)
Matches played	179	644
All-time record	49W 40D 90L	219W 182D 243L
Goals for	156	753
Goals against	262	832
Biggest win	4–0 vs Ivory Coast · 2024-01-22 · African Cup of Nations	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Congo · 1990-12-13 · UDEAC Cup	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.04	0.08

When they've met

Meetings

Equatorial Guinea 1W 0D 1L

Goals

1–3

Equatorial Guinea first

First meeting

1–0

Equatorial Guinea won · 2024-06-10 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

0–3

Malawi won · 2025-10-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Equatorial Guinea's biggest win

1–0

2024-06-10 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Malawi's biggest win

3–0

2025-10-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Current run

Won the last meeting

Malawi · since 2025-10-09

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-10-09	0–3	Malawi home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2024-06-10	1–0	Equatorial Guinea home	FIFA World Cup qualification