Head to head

Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar

If they played today

Equatorial Guinea at home

40% / 26% / 34%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Madagascar win

Equatorial Guinea–Madagascar

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.1%
2–1 8.5%
1–2 7.8%

Neutral venue

32% / 26% / 42%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Madagascar win

Equatorial Guinea–Madagascar

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.2%
1–2 8.8%
1–0 8.6%
2–1 7.5%

Madagascar at home

25% / 25% / 50%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Madagascar win

Equatorial Guinea–Madagascar

1–1 11.7%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 8.9%
1–0 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Equatorial Guinea	Madagascar
Current Elo	1445	1511
Elo rank	130th	108th
Peak Elo	1633 (2024)	1645 (1993)
Matches played	179	320
All-time record	49W 40D 90L	118W 73D 129L
Goals for	156	434
Goals against	262	484
Biggest win	4–0 vs Ivory Coast · 2024-01-22 · African Cup of Nations	8–1 vs Congo · 1960-04-18 · African Friendship Games
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Congo · 1990-12-13 · UDEAC Cup	0–7 vs DR Congo · 1965-07-19 · All-African Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.04	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Equatorial Guinea 1W 1D 4L

Goals

4–7

Equatorial Guinea first

First meeting

2–0

Equatorial Guinea won · 2011-11-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2026-03-31 · Friendly

Equatorial Guinea's biggest win

2–0

2011-11-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Madagascar's biggest win

2–0

2025-11-17 · Friendly

Most common result

0–1

Equatorial Guinea first · twice, last 2018-10-16

Current run

Unbeaten in 5

Madagascar · since 2011-11-15

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-03-31	1–1	Neutral	Friendly
2025-11-17	0–2	Neutral	Friendly
2018-10-16	0–1	Madagascar home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2018-10-13	0–1	Equatorial Guinea home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2011-11-15	1–2	Madagascar home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2011-11-11	2–0	Equatorial Guinea home	FIFA World Cup qualification