Head to head

Equatorial Guinea vs Liberia

If they played today

Equatorial Guinea at home

45% / 25% / 29%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Liberia win

Equatorial Guinea–Liberia

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
0–1 8.0%
2–0 7.9%

Neutral venue

37% / 26% / 36%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Liberia win

Equatorial Guinea–Liberia

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.5%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Liberia at home

30% / 26% / 44%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Liberia win

Equatorial Guinea–Liberia

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.2%
0–2 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Equatorial Guinea	Liberia
Current Elo	1445	1438
Elo rank	131st	138th
Peak Elo	1633 (2024)	1629 (2001)
Matches played	179	302
All-time record	49W 40D 90L	79W 70D 153L
Goals for	156	270
Goals against	262	445
Biggest win	4–0 vs Ivory Coast · 2024-01-22 · African Cup of Nations	5–0 vs Djibouti · 2016-03-29 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Congo · 1990-12-13 · UDEAC Cup	2–7 vs Tunisia · 2001-12-30 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.04	0.05

When they've met

Meetings

Equatorial Guinea 4W 3D 1L

Goals

8–7

Equatorial Guinea first

First meeting

2–1

Equatorial Guinea won · 2006-09-03 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2025-10-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Equatorial Guinea's biggest win

2–1

2024-10-14 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Liberia's biggest win

3–0

2023-11-20 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

1–1

Equatorial Guinea first · twice, last 2025-10-13

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Equatorial Guinea · since 2024-10-11

8 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-10-13	1–1	Equatorial Guinea home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2024-10-14	2–1	Liberia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2024-10-11	1–0	Equatorial Guinea home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2023-11-20	0–3	Liberia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2019-07-21	1–1	Equatorial Guinea home	Friendly
2012-08-15	1–0	Equatorial Guinea home	Friendly
2007-06-17	0–0	Liberia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2006-09-03	2–1	Equatorial Guinea home	African Cup of Nations qualification