Head to head

Equatorial Guinea vs Kenya

If they played today

Equatorial Guinea at home

43% / 26% / 31%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Kenya win

Equatorial Guinea–Kenya

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.5%
1–2 7.4%

Neutral venue

35% / 26% / 39%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Kenya win

Equatorial Guinea–Kenya

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.2%
1–2 8.5%
2–1 7.9%

Kenya at home

28% / 25% / 47%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Kenya win

Equatorial Guinea–Kenya

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.2%
1–0 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Equatorial Guinea	Kenya
Current Elo	1445	1472
Elo rank	131st	123rd
Peak Elo	1633 (2024)	1644 (1961)
Matches played	179	706
All-time record	49W 40D 90L	268W 176D 262L
Goals for	156	978
Goals against	262	958
Biggest win	4–0 vs Ivory Coast · 2024-01-22 · African Cup of Nations	10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Congo · 1990-12-13 · UDEAC Cup	1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.04	0.20

When they've met

Meetings

Equatorial Guinea 0W 0D 1L

Goals

0–1

Equatorial Guinea first

First meeting

0–1

Kenya won · 2018-05-28 · Friendly

Most recent

0–1

Kenya won · 2018-05-28 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2018-05-28	0–1	Kenya home	Friendly