Head to head

Equatorial Guinea vs Italy

If they played today

Equatorial Guinea at home

14% / 20% / 67%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Italy win

Equatorial Guinea–Italy

0–2 12.2%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
0–3 8.3%

Neutral venue

9% / 17% / 74%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Italy win

Equatorial Guinea–Italy

0–2 13.7%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.3%
1–2 9.1%
1–1 8.1%

Italy at home

6% / 14% / 80%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Italy win

Equatorial Guinea–Italy

0–2 15.2%
0–3 12.5%
0–1 12.4%
1–2 8.1%
0–4 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Equatorial Guinea	Italy
Current Elo	1445	1922
Elo rank	131st	19th
Peak Elo	1633 (2024)	2140 (2021)
Matches played	179	893
All-time record	49W 40D 90L	477W 243D 173L
Goals for	156	1565
Goals against	262	876
Biggest win	4–0 vs Ivory Coast · 2024-01-22 · African Cup of Nations	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Congo · 1990-12-13 · UDEAC Cup	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	4
Expected World Cups	0.00	1.66

When they've met

Equatorial Guinea and Italy have never played each other.