Head to head

Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea

If they played today

Equatorial Guinea at home

34% / 26% / 40%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Guinea win

Equatorial Guinea–Guinea

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.1%
1–2 8.5%
2–1 7.8%

Neutral venue

27% / 25% / 48%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Guinea win

Equatorial Guinea–Guinea

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.4%
1–0 7.6%

Guinea at home

21% / 23% / 56%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Guinea win

Equatorial Guinea–Guinea

0–1 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
0–2 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Equatorial Guinea	Guinea
Current Elo	1445	1579
Elo rank	131st	90th
Peak Elo	1633 (2024)	1799 (1977)
Matches played	179	539
All-time record	49W 40D 90L	200W 153D 186L
Goals for	156	730
Goals against	262	660
Biggest win	4–0 vs Ivory Coast · 2024-01-22 · African Cup of Nations	6–0 vs Vanuatu · 2024-03-21 · FIFA Series
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Congo · 1990-12-13 · UDEAC Cup	0–6 vs DR Congo · 1972-07-02 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.04	0.66

When they've met

Meetings

Equatorial Guinea 0W 0D 1L

Goals

0–1

Equatorial Guinea first

First meeting

0–1

Guinea won · 2024-01-28 · African Cup of Nations

Most recent

0–1

Guinea won · 2024-01-28 · African Cup of Nations

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-01-28	0–1	Neutral	African Cup of Nations