Head to head

Equatorial Guinea vs Guinea-Bissau

If they played today

Equatorial Guinea at home

52% / 24% / 24%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Guinea-Bissau win

Equatorial Guinea–Guinea-Bissau

1–1 11.6%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.1%
0–1 6.9%

Neutral venue

44% / 26% / 31%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Guinea-Bissau win

Equatorial Guinea–Guinea-Bissau

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.4%
2–0 7.6%

Guinea-Bissau at home

36% / 26% / 38%

Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Guinea-Bissau win

Equatorial Guinea–Guinea-Bissau

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.4%
1–2 8.3%
2–1 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Equatorial Guinea	Guinea-Bissau
Current Elo	1445	1362
Elo rank	131st	154th
Peak Elo	1633 (2024)	1532 (1960)
Matches played	179	190
All-time record	49W 40D 90L	52W 44D 94L
Goals for	156	189
Goals against	262	280
Biggest win	4–0 vs Ivory Coast · 2024-01-22 · African Cup of Nations	7–2 vs Benin · 2001-11-03 · Amílcar Cabral Cup
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Congo · 1990-12-13 · UDEAC Cup	1–6 vs Mali · 1997-12-01 · Amílcar Cabral Cup
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.04	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Equatorial Guinea 1W 0D 2L

Goals

5–9

Equatorial Guinea first

First meeting

1–4

Guinea-Bissau won · 2011-08-10 · Friendly

Most recent

4–2

Equatorial Guinea won · 2024-01-18 · African Cup of Nations

Equatorial Guinea's biggest win

4–2

2024-01-18 · African Cup of Nations

Guinea-Bissau's biggest win

4–1

2011-08-10 · Friendly

Current run

Won the last meeting

Equatorial Guinea · since 2024-01-18

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-01-18	4–2	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
2022-03-23	0–3	Neutral	Friendly
2011-08-10	1–4	Neutral	Friendly