Head to head

Equatorial Guinea vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Equatorial Guinea at home
49% / 25% / 26%
Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Ethiopia win
Equatorial Guinea–Ethiopia
  • 1–1 11.8%
  • 1–0 10.8%
  • 2–1 9.5%
  • 2–0 8.6%
  • 0–1 7.4%
Neutral venue
41% / 26% / 33%
Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Ethiopia win
Equatorial Guinea–Ethiopia
  • 1–1 12.4%
  • 1–0 10.1%
  • 0–1 8.8%
  • 2–1 8.7%
  • 1–2 7.6%
Ethiopia at home
33% / 26% / 41%
Equatorial Guinea win / draw / Ethiopia win
Equatorial Guinea–Ethiopia
  • 1–1 12.4%
  • 0–1 10.0%
  • 1–0 8.9%
  • 1–2 8.7%
  • 2–1 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 Equatorial GuineaEthiopia
Current Elo14451393
Elo rank131st148th
Peak Elo1633 (2024)1641 (1968)
Matches played179409
All-time record49W 40D 90L144W 93D 172L
Goals for156549
Goals against262595
Biggest win4–0 vs Ivory Coast · 2024-01-22 · African Cup of Nations10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss0–6 vs Congo · 1990-12-13 · UDEAC Cup0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won01
Expected African Cup of Nations0.041.67

When they've met

Equatorial Guinea and Ethiopia have never played each other.