Head to head

England vs Tonga

If they played today

England at home

97% / 3% / 0%

England win / draw / Tonga win

England–Tonga

3–0 19.5%
4–0 18.5%
2–0 15.5%
5–0 14.0%
6–0 8.8%

Neutral venue

97% / 3% / 0%

England win / draw / Tonga win

England–Tonga

3–0 20.3%
4–0 18.2%
2–0 17.0%
5–0 13.0%
1–0 9.5%

Tonga at home

96% / 4% / 0%

England win / draw / Tonga win

England–Tonga

3–0 20.8%
2–0 18.5%
4–0 17.6%
5–0 11.9%
1–0 10.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	England	Tonga
Current Elo	2197	1056
Elo rank	3rd	198th
Peak Elo	2197 (2026)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	1098	68
All-time record	631W 259D 208L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	2401	81
Goals against	1053	253
Biggest win	13–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1882-02-18 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1954-05-23 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	1	0
Expected World Cups	1.45	0.00

When they've met

England and Tonga have never played each other.