Head to head

England vs Samoa

If they played today

England at home

96% / 4% / 0%

England win / draw / Samoa win

England–Samoa

3–0 20.6%
2–0 17.9%
4–0 17.9%
5–0 12.4%
1–0 10.3%

Neutral venue

96% / 4% / 0%

England win / draw / Samoa win

England–Samoa

3–0 21.1%
2–0 19.4%
4–0 17.2%
1–0 11.9%
5–0 11.2%

Samoa at home

93% / 6% / 1%

England win / draw / Samoa win

England–Samoa

3–0 19.8%
2–0 19.4%
4–0 15.1%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 9.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	England	Samoa
Current Elo	2197	1216
Elo rank	3rd	179th
Peak Elo	2197 (2026)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	1098	71
All-time record	631W 259D 208L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	2401	99
Goals against	1053	249
Biggest win	13–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1882-02-18 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1954-05-23 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	1	0
Expected World Cups	1.45	0.00

When they've met

England and Samoa have never played each other.