Head to head

England vs Mali

If they played today

England at home

80% / 14% / 6%

England win / draw / Mali win

England–Mali

2–0 15.4%
3–0 12.7%
1–0 12.4%
2–1 7.9%
4–0 7.9%

Neutral venue

74% / 17% / 9%

England win / draw / Mali win

England–Mali

2–0 13.9%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.5%
2–1 9.0%
1–1 7.9%

Mali at home

67% / 20% / 13%

England win / draw / Mali win

England–Mali

2–0 12.4%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
3–0 8.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	England	Mali
Current Elo	2197	1709
Elo rank	3rd	60th
Peak Elo	2197 (2026)	1773 (2024)
Matches played	1098	569
All-time record	631W 259D 208L	232W 151D 186L
Goals for	2401	746
Goals against	1053	626
Biggest win	13–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1882-02-18 · Friendly	6–0 vs Eswatini · 2024-11-19 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1954-05-23 · Friendly	0–7 vs Algeria · 1988-11-13 · Friendly
World Cups won	1	0
Expected World Cups	1.45	0.00

When they've met

England and Mali have never played each other.