Head to head

England vs Ethiopia

If they played today

England at home

94% / 5% / 0%

England win / draw / Ethiopia win

England–Ethiopia

3–0 20.3%
2–0 19.6%
4–0 15.8%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 9.8%

Neutral venue

91% / 8% / 2%

England win / draw / Ethiopia win

England–Ethiopia

2–0 18.4%
3–0 17.8%
4–0 12.9%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 7.5%

Ethiopia at home

86% / 10% / 3%

England win / draw / Ethiopia win

England–Ethiopia

2–0 17.0%
3–0 15.4%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.4%
2–1 6.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	England	Ethiopia
Current Elo	2197	1393
Elo rank	3rd	148th
Peak Elo	2197 (2026)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	1098	409
All-time record	631W 259D 208L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	2401	549
Goals against	1053	595
Biggest win	13–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1882-02-18 · Friendly	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–7 vs Hungary · 1954-05-23 · Friendly	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
World Cups won	1	0
Expected World Cups	1.45	0.00

When they've met

England and Ethiopia have never played each other.