Head to head

Egypt vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Egypt at home

79% / 14% / 6%

Egypt win / draw / Ethiopia win

Egypt–Ethiopia

2–0 15.1%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 12.2%
2–1 8.2%
4–0 7.4%

Neutral venue

73% / 17% / 10%

Egypt win / draw / Ethiopia win

Egypt–Ethiopia

2–0 13.6%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.1%
2–1 9.2%
1–1 8.2%

Ethiopia at home

66% / 20% / 14%

Egypt win / draw / Ethiopia win

Egypt–Ethiopia

2–0 12.0%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.6%
3–0 8.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Egypt	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1860	1393
Elo rank	28th	148th
Peak Elo	1934 (2010)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	761	409
All-time record	380W 188D 193L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	1233	549
Goals against	773	595
Biggest win	15–0 vs Laos · 1963-11-15 · Friendly	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	3–11 vs Italy · 1928-06-09 · Olympic Games	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.05	0.00
African Cup of Nations won	7	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	3.88	1.67

When they've met

Meetings

Egypt 14W 2D 3L

Goals

52–13

Egypt first

First meeting

4–0

Egypt won · 1957-02-16 · African Cup of Nations

Most recent

2–0

Egypt won · 2025-09-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Egypt's biggest win

8–1

1997-07-27 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Ethiopia's biggest win

4–2

1962-01-21 · African Cup of Nations

Most common result

2–0

Egypt first · 4 times, last 2025-09-05

Current run

Won last 3

Egypt · since 2023-09-08

19 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-09-05	2–0	Egypt home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2025-03-21	2–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2023-09-08	1–0	Egypt home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2022-06-09	0–2	Neutral	African Cup of Nations qualification
2002-08-08	4–1	Egypt home	Friendly
1997-07-27	8–1	Egypt home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1997-02-23	1–1	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1995-06-04	2–0	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1994-11-11	5–0	Egypt home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1990-08-17	2–0	Egypt home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1989-04-21	6–1	Egypt home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1989-04-09	0–1	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1976-11-14	2–1	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1976-10-29	3–0	Egypt home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1976-03-05	1–1	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations
1963-11-30	3–0	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
1962-01-21	2–4	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations
1959-05-22	4–0	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
1957-02-16	4–0	Neutral	African Cup of Nations