Head to head

Ecuador vs Zambia

If they played today

Ecuador at home

76% / 16% / 8%

Ecuador win / draw / Zambia win

Ecuador–Zambia

2–0 14.3%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.1%
2–1 8.8%
1–1 7.6%

Neutral venue

69% / 19% / 12%

Ecuador win / draw / Zambia win

Ecuador–Zambia

2–0 12.7%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.6%
3–0 9.0%
1–1 9.0%

Zambia at home

62% / 22% / 17%

Ecuador win / draw / Zambia win

Ecuador–Zambia

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Zambia
Current Elo	1964	1551
Elo rank	16th	94th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1799 (1994)
Matches played	595	793
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	358W 203D 232L
Goals for	719	1234
Goals against	907	851
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	11–2 vs Eswatini · 1978-02-05 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	1–10 vs DR Congo · 1969-11-22 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 2W 0D 0L

Goals

5–1

Ecuador first

First meeting

4–1

Ecuador won · 1995-06-04 · Korea Cup

Most recent

1–0

Ecuador won · 1995-06-12 · Korea Cup

Ecuador's biggest win

4–1

1995-06-04 · Korea Cup

Zambia's biggest win

—

Never beaten Ecuador

Current run

Won last 2

Ecuador · since 1995-06-04

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1995-06-12	1–0	Neutral	Korea Cup
1995-06-04	4–1	Neutral	Korea Cup