Head to head

Ecuador vs Wales

If they played today

Ecuador at home

62% / 21% / 16%

Ecuador win / draw / Wales win

Ecuador–Wales

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.3%

Neutral venue

55% / 24% / 22%

Ecuador win / draw / Wales win

Ecuador–Wales

1–1 11.2%
1–0 11.2%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.7%
0–1 6.4%

Wales at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Ecuador win / draw / Wales win

Ecuador–Wales

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.1%
0–1 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Wales
Current Elo	1964	1743
Elo rank	16th	52nd
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	595	726
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	719	910
Goals against	907	1160
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.02

When they've met

Ecuador and Wales have never played each other.