Head to head

Ecuador vs Vanuatu

If they played today

Ecuador at home

83% / 12% / 5%

Ecuador win / draw / Vanuatu win

Ecuador–Vanuatu

2–0 16.0%
3–0 13.7%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.8%
2–1 7.3%

Neutral venue

77% / 15% / 7%

Ecuador win / draw / Vanuatu win

Ecuador–Vanuatu

2–0 14.6%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.5%
2–1 8.6%
1–1 7.2%

Vanuatu at home

71% / 18% / 11%

Ecuador win / draw / Vanuatu win

Ecuador–Vanuatu

2–0 13.1%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.4%
2–1 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Vanuatu
Current Elo	1964	1430
Elo rank	16th	140th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1609 (2004)
Matches played	595	214
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	69W 29D 116L
Goals for	719	403
Goals against	907	460
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	18–0 vs Kiribati · 2003-07-07 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–9 vs New Zealand · 1951-10-04 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Vanuatu have never played each other.