Head to head

Ecuador vs Uzbekistan

If they played today

Ecuador at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Ecuador win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Ecuador–Uzbekistan

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.5%
1–1 10.0%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.5%

Neutral venue

56% / 23% / 21%

Ecuador win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Ecuador–Uzbekistan

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
2–0 9.9%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Uzbekistan at home

48% / 25% / 27%

Ecuador win / draw / Uzbekistan win

Ecuador–Uzbekistan

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.4%
2–0 8.3%
0–1 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Uzbekistan
Current Elo	1964	1731
Elo rank	16th	56th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1844 (2025)
Matches played	595	357
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	169W 73D 115L
Goals for	719	615
Goals against	907	405
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	15–0 vs Mongolia · 1998-12-05 · Asian Games
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	1–8 vs Japan · 2000-10-17 · AFC Asian Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	<0.01

When they've met

Ecuador and Uzbekistan have never played each other.