Head to head

Ecuador vs United States Virgin Islands

If they played today

Ecuador at home

96% / 4% / 0%

Ecuador win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Ecuador–United States Virgin Islands

3–0 20.7%
2–0 18.0%
4–0 17.8%
5–0 12.3%
1–0 10.4%

Neutral venue

95% / 4% / 0%

Ecuador win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Ecuador–United States Virgin Islands

3–0 21.1%
2–0 19.5%
4–0 17.1%
1–0 12.0%
5–0 11.1%

United States Virgin Islands at home

93% / 6% / 1%

Ecuador win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Ecuador–United States Virgin Islands

3–0 19.6%
2–0 19.3%
4–0 14.9%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 9.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	United States Virgin Islands
Current Elo	1964	990
Elo rank	16th	206th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1507 (1999)
Matches played	595	78
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	10W 12D 56L
Goals for	719	54
Goals against	907	295
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	4–0 vs Marshall Islands · 2025-08-14 · Outrigger Challenge Cup
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	1–14 vs Saint Lucia · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and United States Virgin Islands have never played each other.