Head to head

Ecuador vs Ukraine

If they played today

Ecuador at home

54% / 24% / 22%

Ecuador win / draw / Ukraine win

Ecuador–Ukraine

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.7%
0–1 6.5%

Neutral venue

46% / 25% / 28%

Ecuador win / draw / Ukraine win

Ecuador–Ukraine

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
2–0 8.1%
0–1 7.9%

Ukraine at home

38% / 26% / 36%

Ecuador win / draw / Ukraine win

Ecuador–Ukraine

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.4%
2–1 8.3%
1–2 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Ukraine
Current Elo	1964	1847
Elo rank	16th	30th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1921 (2024)
Matches played	595	338
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	152W 94D 92L
Goals for	719	475
Goals against	907	358
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	9–0 vs San Marino · 2013-09-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	1–7 vs France · 2020-10-07 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.01

When they've met

Ecuador and Ukraine have never played each other.