Head to head

Ecuador vs Uganda

If they played today

Ecuador at home

78% / 15% / 7%

Ecuador win / draw / Uganda win

Ecuador–Uganda

2–0 14.8%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 11.9%
2–1 8.4%
4–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

72% / 18% / 10%

Ecuador win / draw / Uganda win

Ecuador–Uganda

2–0 13.3%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.8%
2–1 9.3%
1–1 8.5%

Uganda at home

65% / 21% / 15%

Ecuador win / draw / Uganda win

Ecuador–Uganda

1–0 11.8%
2–0 11.8%
1–1 9.8%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Uganda
Current Elo	1964	1514
Elo rank	16th	105th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1707 (1978)
Matches played	595	685
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	285W 182D 218L
Goals for	719	1030
Goals against	907	809
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	13–1 vs Kenya · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	1–8 vs Nigeria · 1991-09-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 0W 0D 1L

Goals

1–2

Ecuador first

First meeting

1–2

Uganda won · 2005-12-29 · Friendly

Most recent

1–2

Uganda won · 2005-12-29 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2005-12-29	1–2	Neutral	Friendly