Head to head

Ecuador vs Tonga

If they played today

Ecuador at home

96% / 4% / 0%

Ecuador win / draw / Tonga win

Ecuador–Tonga

3–0 21.0%
2–0 19.0%
4–0 17.4%
5–0 11.5%
1–0 11.4%

Neutral venue

94% / 5% / 0%

Ecuador win / draw / Tonga win

Ecuador–Tonga

3–0 20.4%
2–0 19.7%
4–0 15.9%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 9.9%

Tonga at home

91% / 8% / 1%

Ecuador win / draw / Tonga win

Ecuador–Tonga

2–0 18.4%
3–0 17.9%
4–0 13.1%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Tonga
Current Elo	1964	1056
Elo rank	16th	198th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	595	68
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	719	81
Goals against	907	253
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Tonga have never played each other.