Head to head

Ecuador vs Sweden

If they played today

Ecuador at home

58% / 23% / 19%

Ecuador win / draw / Sweden win

Ecuador–Sweden

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
2–0 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

50% / 25% / 25%

Ecuador win / draw / Sweden win

Ecuador–Sweden

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 8.9%
0–1 7.2%

Sweden at home

42% / 26% / 32%

Ecuador win / draw / Sweden win

Ecuador–Sweden

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.8%
0–1 8.6%
1–2 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Sweden
Current Elo	1964	1797
Elo rank	16th	41st
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1955 (2018)
Matches played	595	1105
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	542W 234D 329L
Goals for	719	2178
Goals against	907	1431
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	12–0 vs Latvia · 1927-05-29 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–10 vs Denmark · 1913-10-05 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.52

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 1W 1D 0L

Goals

3–2

Ecuador first

First meeting

2–1

Ecuador won · 2007-01-18 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2007-01-21 · Friendly

Ecuador's biggest win

2–1

2007-01-18 · Friendly

Sweden's biggest win

—

Never beaten Ecuador

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Ecuador · since 2007-01-18

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2007-01-21	1–1	Ecuador home	Friendly
2007-01-18	2–1	Ecuador home	Friendly