Head to head

Ecuador vs Sri Lanka

If they played today

Ecuador at home

96% / 4% / 0%

Ecuador win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Ecuador–Sri Lanka

3–0 20.8%
2–0 18.3%
4–0 17.7%
5–0 12.1%
1–0 10.7%

Neutral venue

95% / 4% / 0%

Ecuador win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Ecuador–Sri Lanka

3–0 21.2%
2–0 19.8%
4–0 17.0%
1–0 12.4%
5–0 10.9%

Sri Lanka at home

93% / 7% / 1%

Ecuador win / draw / Sri Lanka win

Ecuador–Sri Lanka

3–0 19.0%
2–0 19.0%
4–0 14.3%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Sri Lanka
Current Elo	1964	1011
Elo rank	16th	202nd
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1489 (1952)
Matches played	595	251
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	49W 47D 155L
Goals for	719	237
Goals against	907	576
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	7–1 vs Pakistan · 2008-04-04 · AFC Challenge Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	1–12 vs German DR · 1964-01-12 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Sri Lanka have never played each other.