Head to head

Ecuador vs Slovenia

If they played today

Ecuador at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Ecuador win / draw / Slovenia win

Ecuador–Slovenia

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.4%

Neutral venue

55% / 24% / 22%

Ecuador win / draw / Slovenia win

Ecuador–Slovenia

1–1 11.2%
1–0 11.2%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.8%
0–1 6.4%

Slovenia at home

47% / 25% / 28%

Ecuador win / draw / Slovenia win

Ecuador–Slovenia

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.2%
0–1 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Slovenia
Current Elo	1964	1741
Elo rank	16th	53rd
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1830 (2024)
Matches played	595	317
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	114W 86D 117L
Goals for	719	392
Goals against	907	372
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	7–0 vs Oman · 1999-02-08 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–5 vs France · 2002-10-12 · UEFA Euro qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.01

When they've met

Ecuador and Slovenia have never played each other.