Head to head

Ecuador vs Senegal

If they played today

Ecuador at home

52% / 24% / 24%

Ecuador win / draw / Senegal win

Ecuador–Senegal

1–1 11.6%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.1%
0–1 6.9%

Neutral venue

44% / 26% / 31%

Ecuador win / draw / Senegal win

Ecuador–Senegal

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.4%
2–0 7.6%

Senegal at home

36% / 26% / 38%

Ecuador win / draw / Senegal win

Ecuador–Senegal

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.4%
1–2 8.3%
2–1 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Senegal
Current Elo	1964	1881
Elo rank	16th	27th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1953 (2026)
Matches played	595	642
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	299W 169D 174L
Goals for	719	892
Goals against	907	608
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	8–0 vs Kenya · 2025-11-18 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–5 vs Guinea · 1966-03-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.04

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 0W 0D 3L

Goals

2–5

Ecuador first

First meeting

0–1

Senegal won · 2002-05-23 · Friendly

Most recent

1–2

Senegal won · 2022-11-29 · FIFA World Cup

Ecuador's biggest win

—

Never beaten Senegal

Senegal's biggest win

2–1

2022-11-29 · FIFA World Cup

Most common result

1–2

Ecuador first · twice, last 2022-11-29

Current run

Won last 3

Senegal · since 2002-05-23

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2022-11-29	1–2	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
2005-12-27	1–2	Neutral	Friendly
2002-05-23	0–1	Neutral	Friendly