Head to head

Ecuador vs Scotland

If they played today

Ecuador at home

57% / 23% / 20%

Ecuador win / draw / Scotland win

Ecuador–Scotland

1–0 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
2–0 10.2%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Neutral venue

49% / 25% / 26%

Ecuador win / draw / Scotland win

Ecuador–Scotland

1–1 11.8%
1–0 10.7%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.6%
0–1 7.4%

Scotland at home

41% / 26% / 33%

Ecuador win / draw / Scotland win

Ecuador–Scotland

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 8.9%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Scotland
Current Elo	1964	1815
Elo rank	16th	37th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1875 (2023)
Matches played	595	854
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	403W 182D 269L
Goals for	719	1455
Goals against	907	1054
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1901-02-23 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–7 vs Uruguay · 1954-06-19 · FIFA World Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.21

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 0W 0D 1L

Goals

1–2

Ecuador first

First meeting

1–2

Scotland won · 1995-05-24 · Kirin Cup

Most recent

1–2

Scotland won · 1995-05-24 · Kirin Cup

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1995-05-24	1–2	Neutral	Kirin Cup