Head to head

Ecuador vs São Tomé and Príncipe

If they played today

Ecuador at home

93% / 6% / 1%

Ecuador win / draw / São Tomé and Príncipe win

Ecuador–São Tomé and Príncipe

3–0 19.8%
2–0 19.4%
4–0 15.2%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 9.3%

Neutral venue

90% / 8% / 2%

Ecuador win / draw / São Tomé and Príncipe win

Ecuador–São Tomé and Príncipe

2–0 18.1%
3–0 17.3%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 12.4%
5–0 7.1%

São Tomé and Príncipe at home

85% / 11% / 4%

Ecuador win / draw / São Tomé and Príncipe win

Ecuador–São Tomé and Príncipe

2–0 16.7%
3–0 14.9%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 9.9%
2–1 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	São Tomé and Príncipe
Current Elo	1964	1182
Elo rank	16th	182nd
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1481 (1976)
Matches played	595	71
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	9W 10D 52L
Goals for	719	53
Goals against	907	182
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	3–1 vs Mauritius · 2019-10-09 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–10 vs Nigeria · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and São Tomé and Príncipe have never played each other.