Head to head

Ecuador vs Samoa

If they played today

Ecuador at home

92% / 7% / 1%

Ecuador win / draw / Samoa win

Ecuador–Samoa

2–0 18.9%
3–0 18.9%
4–0 14.2%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.5%

Neutral venue

88% / 9% / 2%

Ecuador win / draw / Samoa win

Ecuador–Samoa

2–0 17.6%
3–0 16.4%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.5%
5–0 6.4%

Samoa at home

84% / 12% / 4%

Ecuador win / draw / Samoa win

Ecuador–Samoa

2–0 16.2%
3–0 14.1%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.1%
2–1 7.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Samoa
Current Elo	1964	1216
Elo rank	16th	179th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	595	71
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	719	99
Goals against	907	249
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Samoa have never played each other.