Head to head

Ecuador vs Poland

If they played today

Ecuador at home

60% / 22% / 18%

Ecuador win / draw / Poland win

Ecuador–Poland

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.7%

Neutral venue

52% / 24% / 24%

Ecuador win / draw / Poland win

Ecuador–Poland

1–1 11.5%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.2%
0–1 6.9%

Poland at home

44% / 26% / 31%

Ecuador win / draw / Poland win

Ecuador–Poland

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.3%
2–0 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Poland
Current Elo	1964	1779
Elo rank	16th	44th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1937 (1975)
Matches played	595	892
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	384W 225D 283L
Goals for	719	1499
Goals against	907	1201
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	10–0 vs San Marino · 2009-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–8 vs Denmark · 1948-06-26 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.24

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 1W 1D 1L

Goals

4–5

Ecuador first

First meeting

0–3

Poland won · 2005-11-13 · Friendly

Most recent

2–2

Drawn · 2010-10-12 · Friendly

Ecuador's biggest win

2–0

2006-06-09 · FIFA World Cup

Poland's biggest win

3–0

2005-11-13 · Friendly

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Ecuador · since 2006-06-09

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2010-10-12	2–2	Neutral	Friendly
2006-06-09	2–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
2005-11-13	0–3	Neutral	Friendly