Head to head

Ecuador vs Panama

If they played today

Ecuador at home

60% / 22% / 18%

Ecuador win / draw / Panama win

Ecuador–Panama

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.9%
1–1 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.8%

Neutral venue

53% / 24% / 23%

Ecuador win / draw / Panama win

Ecuador–Panama

1–1 11.5%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.3%
0–1 6.8%

Panama at home

44% / 26% / 30%

Ecuador win / draw / Panama win

Ecuador–Panama

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.2%
2–0 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Panama
Current Elo	1964	1770
Elo rank	16th	47th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1891 (2025)
Matches played	595	542
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	183W 133D 226L
Goals for	719	679
Goals against	907	826
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	13–0 vs Anguilla · 2021-06-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–11 vs Costa Rica · 1938-02-16 · Central American and Caribbean Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 5W 2D 0L

Goals

16–2

Ecuador first

First meeting

5–0

Ecuador won · 2000-06-25 · Friendly

Most recent

2–1

Ecuador won · 2018-11-20 · Friendly

Ecuador's biggest win

5–0

2000-06-25 · Friendly

Panama's biggest win

—

Never beaten Ecuador

Most common result

2–0

Ecuador first · twice, last 2005-01-29

Current run

Unbeaten in 7

Ecuador · since 2000-06-25

7 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2018-11-20	2–1	Panama home	Friendly
2015-06-06	4–0	Ecuador home	Friendly
2015-06-03	1–1	Panama home	Friendly
2005-01-29	2–0	Ecuador home	Friendly
2005-01-26	2–0	Ecuador home	Friendly
2000-08-11	0–0	Panama home	Friendly
2000-06-25	5–0	Ecuador home	Friendly