Head to head

Ecuador vs Nigeria

If they played today

Ecuador at home

51% / 24% / 24%

Ecuador win / draw / Nigeria win

Ecuador–Nigeria

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.1%
0–1 7.0%

Neutral venue

43% / 26% / 31%

Ecuador win / draw / Nigeria win

Ecuador–Nigeria

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.4%
2–0 7.5%

Nigeria at home

35% / 26% / 38%

Ecuador win / draw / Nigeria win

Ecuador–Nigeria

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.3%
1–2 8.4%
2–1 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Nigeria
Current Elo	1964	1883
Elo rank	16th	26th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1896 (2006)
Matches played	595	661
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	311W 192D 158L
Goals for	719	1008
Goals against	907	662
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	10–0 vs São Tomé and Príncipe · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–7 vs Ghana · 1955-10-30 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.08

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 1W 1D 0L

Goals

3–2

Ecuador first

First meeting

2–2

Drawn · 2004-10-22 · Friendly

Most recent

1–0

Ecuador won · 2022-06-02 · Friendly

Ecuador's biggest win

1–0

2022-06-02 · Friendly

Nigeria's biggest win

—

Never beaten Ecuador

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Ecuador · since 2004-10-22

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2022-06-02	1–0	Neutral	Friendly
2004-10-22	2–2	Neutral	Friendly